| ◇ | 7,894.87 | UP | derived — 1% beyond 7,816.70; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★★ | 7,816.70 | UP | Annual ceiling and bull trigger — a confirmed close above reopens trend continuation. |
| → | 7,785.76 | last close (-0.17%) | |
| ★ | 7,773.76 | First line of session support — a shallow dip buyers should defend fast. | |
| ★ | 7,717.25 | Deeper session floor near the demand zone's upper edge — last line before 7,577.92. | |
| ★★★★ | 7,577.92 | DP | Bear trigger and EQ-adjacent cluster — lose this and downside accelerates fast. |
| ◇ | 7,502.14 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 7,577.92; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★ | 7,421.82 | DP | Next downside magnet if 7,577.92 breaks — thin support beneath current structure. |
| ★★★★ | 7,294.18 | DP | Deeper multi-week floor — a clean break here shifts the whole trend bearish. |
| ◇ | 7,221.24 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 7,294.18; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★★ | 6,316.91 | DP | The year's line in the sand — far off, but it defines the regime. |
| ◇ | 6,253.74 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 6,316.91; active only on a confirmed break |
🟢bullish | $7,785.76 · swing (days–weeks)
🟥Bear trigger: < 7,577.92 (daily close)
🟩Bull trigger: > 7,816.70 (daily close)
🎯7,577.92 → 7,421.82 → 7,294.18 (downside) · 7,850.00 → 7,900.00 → 7,950.00 (upside)
🛡️7,793.68–7,816.70 = supply lid
⚖️EQ 7,553.80 = equilibrium pivot
–Swing high 7,793.68 and swing low 7,313.92 are the key liquidity zones — expect sweeps/manipulation around both before real moves develop.
–Closest resistance above: 7,800.00, 7,816.70, 7,850.00, 7,900.00, 7,950.00, 8,000.00.
–Closest support below: 7,773.76, 7,750.00, 7,717.25, 7,700.00, 7,650.00, 7,600.00.
–Strongest nearby cluster: 7,551.31–7,581.50 (3 touches) — dense confluence right at the EQ pivot.
–Supply imbalance overhead at 7,793.68–7,816.70 — where rallies are most likely to stall and reverse.
–Demand imbalance below at 7,421.82–7,577.92 — where dips are most likely to find a bid.
–Primary (with the trend): long a confirmed daily close above 7,816.70, targeting 7,850.00 → 7,900.00 → 7,950.00.
–Stop for the long: back below 7,793.68 (supply zone floor / swing high) — invalidates the breakout.
–Opposite (fade the extension): short on rejection from the 7,793.68–7,816.70 supply zone, confirmed only by a daily close back below 7,793.68.
–Targets for the short: 7,577.92 → 7,421.82 → 7,294.18.
–Stop for the short: above 7,816.70, the top of the supply zone.
–Watch the 7,793.68–7,816.70 supply zone (also the swing-high shelf) for a rejection.
–Confirmation: bearish engulfing or pin bar on the daily, or a lower-timeframe breakdown through 7,793.68 intraday.
–Entry on the close-back-below confirmation; first target 7,577.92 (bear trigger), then 7,421.82, then 7,294.18.
–Stop just above the supply zone ceiling at 7,816.70 for the conservative version.
–Watch the 7,421.82–7,577.92 demand zone, or a sweep of the 7,313.92 swing low followed by a fast reclaim.
–Confirmation: bullish pin bar or rejection wick off the zone, or a divergence on the reclaim of 7,313.92.
–Entry on confirmed hold; targets 7,816.70 (bull trigger), then 7,850.00 → 7,900.00 → 7,950.00.
–Stop just below the demand zone at 7,421.82, or below 7,313.92 for the sweep version.
If 7,577.92 fails on a daily close, the multi-week floor gives way and 7,421.82 comes into play quickly, with 7,294.18 next below that. A confirmed close above 7,816.70 flips the picture bullish and opens the path to 7,850.00, then 7,900.00 and 7,950.00. The engine's confidence sits in the mid-50s to mid-60s (56 on the 1-day, 64 on the 1-week) with positive dealer gamma pinning moves — a real lean up, but not decisive, so both scenarios stay tradeable until one trigger closes.
Not financial advice — analysis only.