SPX Trading Plan — 2026-08-25

S&P 500 (SPX) uptrend · published 2026-08-25 12:12 UTC by the SPX Lens AI desk
7,894.87UPderived — 1% beyond 7,816.70; active only on a confirmed break
★★★★★7,816.70UPAnnual ceiling — a confirmed close above wakes the derived level overhead.
7,773.76Thin session cap, first friction before the annual high comes into range.
7,717.25Overhead speed bump on any push out of today's range.
7,670.30Prior session high — bulls need this back to keep control.
7,652.86last close (-0.28%)
7,638.17Prior session low, the first crack in the floor if sellers show up.
★★★★7,581.50DPThe pivot — lose this on a close and the floor gives way fast.
7,505.68DPderived — 1% beyond 7,581.50; active only on a confirmed break
★★★7,421.82DPWeekly floor, the first real magnet once 7,581.50 gives way.
★★★★7,294.18DPMulti-week containment, last checkpoint before the annual low is in play.
7,221.24DPderived — 1% beyond 7,294.18; active only on a confirmed break
★★★★★6,316.91DPAnnual floor — untouched, but the level that rewrites the yearly story.
6,253.74DPderived — 1% beyond 6,316.91; active only on a confirmed break
The level that matters this week is 7,581.50 — the multi-week DP pivot separating the bull case toward 7,816.70 from a slide toward 7,421.82.

SPX Lens Trading Plan

🟢bullish | $7,652.86 · swing (days–weeks)

🟥Bear trigger: < 7,581.50 (daily close)

🟩Bull trigger: > 7,816.70 (daily close)

🎯7,550.00 → 7,500.00 (downside) · targets pending, watch for a close above 7,816.70 to open the upside (upside)

🛡️7,816.70 = supply lid

⚖️EQ 7,565.31 = equilibrium pivot

📈 Critical Levels

Swing high 7,816.70 and swing low 7,313.92 are the key liquidity zones — expect sweeps and stop-runs at both before real direction shows

Closest resistance above: 7,670.30, 7,700.00, 7,717.25, 7,750.00, 7,773.76, 7,800.00

Closest support below: 7,650.00, 7,638.17, 7,600.00, 7,581.50, 7,550.00, 7,500.00

Strongest nearby cluster: 7,525.94–7,581.50 (4 touches) — the highest-confidence pivot on the board

Supply imbalance overhead at 7,816.70 — where rallies have stalled and reversed before

Demand imbalance below at 7,421.82–7,581.50 — where dips have found a bid all month

💡 Trade Ideas

Primary (with the trend): long strength through 7,670.30, using 7,638.17 as the flip level to hold

First targets: 7,717.25 → 7,773.76 → 7,816.70 (bull trigger)

Opposite (needs confirmation): short a rejection at the 7,816.70 supply zone, or short a confirmed daily close below 7,581.50 (breakdown, not a sweep)

Opposite targets: 7,550.00 → 7,500.00, with the derived DP near 7,505.68 activating only after the 7,581.50 close

Stops: longs below 7,638.17 (tight) or below 7,581.50 (wide); shorts above 7,816.70 supply zone, or above a reclaimed 7,581.50

✅ Example Scenario for Short Entry

Watch the 7,816.70 supply zone (also the swing high and bull trigger)

Wait for lower-timeframe confirmation: a bearish engulfing candle or pin bar rejecting the zone, or a break of intraday structure back under 7,773.76

Profit-taking ladder: 7,773.76 → 7,717.25 → 7,670.30, extending to 7,550.00 → 7,500.00 if 7,581.50 also closes broken

Stop just above the 7,816.70 supply zone / swing high for the conservative version

✅ Example Scenario for Long Entry

Watch the 7,421.82–7,581.50 demand zone, or a sweep of the 7,313.92 swing low that reclaims back above it

Wait for bullish confirmation: a pin bar or rejection wick off the zone, or a reclaim candle after the low sweep

Targets: 7,670.30 → 7,717.25 → 7,773.76 → 7,816.70 (bull trigger)

Stop just below the demand zone (7,421.82) for the sweep version, or below 7,313.92 for the conservative version

🌌 My Expectation

If 7,581.50 fails on a daily close, look for a slide toward 7,550.00 and 7,500.00, with the derived DP near 7,505.68 acting as an added magnet inside that range. Holding above 7,581.50 keeps the path open through 7,717.25 and 7,773.76 toward the 7,816.70 annual high, and a confirmed break there activates the derived UP level near 7,894.87. The engine's confidence sits at 57 (1-day) to 63 (1-week) with a modest upside lean — not a strong conviction call, so both scenarios stay live until one trigger closes.

Not financial advice — analysis only.

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See these levels live with the AI's 7-bar forecast on the SPX Lens interactive chart, or check the AI's full prediction track record.
Plan archive:
2026-09-092026-09-082026-09-072026-09-042026-09-032026-09-022026-09-012026-08-312026-08-282026-08-272026-08-262026-08-252026-08-242026-08-212026-08-20
SPX Lens publishes statistical estimates and technical analysis for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Levels and forecasts carry wide error bands; manage risk on every trade.