| ◇ | 7,922.97 | UP | derived — 1% beyond 7,844.52; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★★ | 7,844.52 | UP | Annual high; daily close above it frees the year's upside. |
| ★ | 7,814.15 | Prior session high; first lid, reclaim needed to lean long. | |
| → | 7,805.45 | last close (-0.02%) | |
| ★★★★ | 7,782.19 | DP | Pivot. Hold and buyers stay in charge; close under flips bearish. |
| ★ | 7,731.26 | Session containment; first real support if the pivot fails. | |
| ◇ | 7,704.37 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 7,782.19; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★ | 7,616.78 | DP | Bottom of demand zone; where a failed pivot gets tested. |
| ◇ | 7,540.61 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 7,616.78; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★ | 7,507.77 | DP | Swing low; losing it breaks the multi-week range. |
| ◇ | 7,432.69 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 7,507.77; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★★ | 6,316.91 | DP | Annual low; only matters if the whole year turns. |
| ◇ | 6,253.74 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 6,316.91; active only on a confirmed break |
🟢bullish | $7,805.45 · swing (days–weeks)
🔥Bear trigger: < 7,782.19 (daily close)
🟩Bull trigger: > 7,844.52 (daily close)
🎯7,750.00, 7,731.26, 7,700.00 (down) · 7,850.00, 7,900.00, 7,950.00 (up)
SPX sits at 7,805.45, well above EQ at 7,676.15 and the 7,581.50–7,638.17 cluster, and inside the 7,616.78–7,782.19 demand zone's upper edge. Supply is a single line at 7,844.52, the annual high, 39 points overhead.
The engine leans up: +0.31% over 7 sessions (54/100 confidence) and +0.52% on the weekly view (47.9), with positive dealer gamma that should dampen moves and pin price near the 7,870 call wall.
— Trigger: daily close below 7,782.19.
— Entry: short on the close or a retest of 7,782.19 from below.
— Invalidation: stop above 7,814.15 (prior session high).
— Targets: 7,750.00, then 7,731.26, then 7,700.00; below that 7,616.78 is the next real level.
— Derived DP 7,704.37 only becomes active on a confirmed break of 7,782.19.
— Pullback long: buy a hold of 7,782.19, stop below 7,731.26, targets 7,844.52 then 7,900.00.
— Breakout long: daily close above 7,844.52, entry on the close or a retest, stop below 7,782.19, targets 7,900.00, 7,922.97 (derived UP, active only on a confirmed break), then 7,950.00.
— Size to the stop; the pullback long's first target is roughly 1.2:1, so take the second target for real reward.
The read changes on a daily close, not an intraday poke: above 7,844.52 opens the annual-high break, below 7,782.19 hands control back to the 7,616.78 demand area.
Inside 7,782.19–7,844.52 expect pinning and rotation with positive gamma, so avoid chasing the middle.