| ◇ | 7,922.97 | UP | derived — 1% beyond 7,844.52; active only on a confirmed break |
| ◇ | 7,860.01 | UP | derived — 1% beyond 7,782.19; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★★ | 7,844.52 | UP | Annual high. Real test of the year; sellers defend it first. |
| ★★★★ | 7,782.19 | UP | Bull trigger. A daily close above it opens 7,800 and the annual high. |
| → | 7,757.17 | last close (+0.58%) | |
| ★ | 7,709.34 | Prior session low. First dip-buy spot while price holds above it. | |
| ★★★★ | 7,616.78 | DP | Bear trigger and cluster top. A daily close below turns the swing lower. |
| ◇ | 7,540.61 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 7,616.78; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★ | 7,507.77 | DP | Weekly containment, swing low. Demand zone floor and main downside target. |
| ★★★★★ | 6,316.91 | DP | Annual low. Far away; only matters if the year's story flips. |
| ◇ | 6,253.74 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 6,316.91; active only on a confirmed break |
🟢bullish | $7,757.17 · swing (days–weeks)
🔥Bear trigger: < 7,616.78 (daily close)
🟩Bull trigger: > 7,782.19 (daily close)
🎯7,800.00, 7,844.52, 7,850.00 up · 7,600.00 down
SPX closed at 7,757.17 (+0.58%), above EQ at 7,676.15 and well clear of the 7,581.50–7,638.17 cluster (6 touches). Price sits just under the 7,782.19–7,844.52 supply zone, with demand at 7,507.77–7,616.78 below. The engine leans up: 1-day +0.36% and 1-week +0.68%, confidence 53 and 56, with positive dealer gamma (call wall 7,860) pointing to dampened, pinned moves.
— Trigger: daily close below 7,616.78. Do not short into the cluster before that.
— Entry: short on the close below 7,616.78 or a retest of it from underneath.
— Invalidation: daily close back above 7,676.15 (EQ).
— Targets: 7,600.00, then 7,507.77 (weekly containment, demand floor).
— Past 7,507.77 the derived DP at 7,540.61 is moot; the next real level is far lower, so take profit there.
— Dip entry: long near 7,709.34 (prior session low) while 7,616.78 holds. Stop below 7,690.00. First target 7,782.19.
— Breakout entry: long on a daily close above 7,782.19. Stop below 7,709.34. Targets 7,800.00, 7,844.52, then 7,850.00.
— 7,844.52 is the annual high, so scale out there; a confirmed break activates the derived UP at 7,922.97.
— Size to the 71.39 ATR and keep risk to 1–2%.
The weekly forecast (+0.68%, band 7,656.71 to 7,844.67 for the first week) fits a grind toward the 7,844.52 annual high. A daily close above 7,782.19 strengthens the bull read; a daily close below 7,616.78 cancels it and makes 7,507.77 the objective. Between those two triggers, expect chop and pinning.