| ◇ | 7,894.87 | UP | derived — 1% beyond 7,816.70; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★★ | 7,816.70 | UP | the year's ceiling — a close above and momentum buyers take over |
| ★ | 7,773.76 | recent session ceiling — minor stall spot on the way to the top | |
| ★ | 7,697.11 | yesterday's high — reclaim it and the uptrend stays in control | |
| → | 7,674.37 | last close (+0.43%) | |
| ★ | 7,660.06 | yesterday's low — first line of defense for dip-buyers today | |
| ★★★★ | 7,581.50 | DP | bear trigger — lose this close and selling pressure snowballs lower |
| ◇ | 7,505.68 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 7,581.50; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★ | 7,421.82 | DP | weekly floor — next stop once 7,581.50 gives way |
| ★★★★ | 7,294.18 | DP | deeper multi-week floor — only relevant on a real trend break |
| ★★★★★ | 6,316.91 | DP | the line for the entire year — a breach here rewrites the bull case |
🟢bullish | $7,674.37 · swing (days–weeks)
🟥Bear trigger: < 7,581.50 (daily close)
🟩Bull trigger: > 7,816.70 (daily close)
🎯7,550.00 → 7,500.00 (downside) · untested above 7,816.70 — no fixed ladder yet (upside)
🛡️7,816.70 = supply lid
⚖️EQ 7,565.31 = equilibrium pivot
–Swing high 7,816.70 and swing low 7,313.92 are the key liquidity zones — expect sweeps and stop-runs at both extremes before the real move develops
–Closest resistance above: 7,697.11 → 7,700.00 → 7,750.00 → 7,773.76 → 7,800.00 → 7,816.70
–Closest support below: 7,660.06 → 7,650.00 → 7,600.00 → 7,581.50 → 7,550.00 → 7,500.00
–Strongest nearby cluster: 7,525.94–7,581.50 (4 touches) — the most defended zone on the chart
–Supply imbalance overhead at 7,816.70 — rallies have stalled and reversed here all year
–Demand imbalance below at 7,421.82–7,581.50 — dips into this band have found a bid repeatedly
–Primary (trend-following long): buy a hold of the 7,581.50–7,660.06 support shelf, aligned with the uptrend and the engine's up-leaning read — first targets 7,697.11 → 7,750.00 → 7,816.70
–Stop below 7,581.50, under the 7,525.94 cluster low — invalidates the long thesis if hit
–Opposite (counter-trend short): fade a rejection at the 7,816.70 supply lid — needs a bearish reversal candle right at the level to confirm — targets back to 7,660.06 → 7,581.50
–If 7,581.50 instead closes below on a daily basis, that upgrades to a breakdown short toward 7,550.00 → 7,500.00, stop back above 7,581.50
–Watch the 7,816.70 supply lid (also the swing high) — sellers have shown up here all year
–Confirmation: a bearish engulfing candle or pin bar right at 7,816.70, or a lower-timeframe breakdown through 7,773.76 and 7,697.11 confirming the rejection is real
–Profit ladder: cover partial at 7,660.06, more at 7,581.50, final runners at 7,550.00 → 7,500.00 if the bear trigger gives way too
–Stop just above 7,816.70, around 7,830.00 — above the supply lid and swing high invalidates the short
–Watch the 7,421.82–7,581.50 demand zone — the 4-touch cluster here is the most defended support on the board
–Confirmation: a bullish pin bar or rejection wick off the zone, or bullish RSI divergence on the 1-hour as price probes the lows
–Aggressive version: a sweep of the 7,313.92 swing low with a fast reclaim back above 7,421.82 — classic stop-run before reversal
–Targets: 7,697.11 → 7,750.00 → 7,816.70
–Stop just below 7,421.82, around 7,400.00 — under the demand zone floor invalidates the long
If 7,581.50 holds on a closing basis, the path of least resistance stays up toward 7,697.11 and then the 7,816.70 annual high — dealer gamma is positive here, so expect the move to be grindy and pinned rather than explosive. A daily close below 7,581.50 flips the bias, opening 7,550.00 and 7,500.00 first with 7,421.82 next in line. The engine's confidence sits in the 56–64 range — leaning up but not decisive, so treat both scenarios as live until one of the triggers actually closes.
Not financial advice — analysis only.