| ◇ | 7,894.87 | UP | derived — 1% beyond 7,816.70; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★★ | 7,816.70 | UP | Annual high and the bull trigger — a confirmed close above opens air toward 7,900. |
| → | 7,730.99 | last close (+0.72%) | |
| ★ | 7,717.25 | Session containment right under price — first line of defense on any pullback. | |
| ★ | 7,689.89 | Yesterday's low — a quick tag-and-hold keeps the uptrend structure intact. | |
| ★ | 7,638.17 | Session floor from the prior range — loses relevance fast if price accelerates lower. | |
| ★★★★ | 7,581.50 | DP | Multi-week containment and the bear trigger — the pivot that flips this whole plan bearish. |
| ◇ | 7,505.69 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 7,581.50; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★ | 7,421.82 | DP | Weekly containment inside the demand shelf — first real target if 7,581.50 gives way. |
| ★★★★ | 7,294.18 | DP | Multi-week floor beneath the demand zone — a decisive close below here is real trend damage. |
| ◇ | 7,221.24 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 7,294.18; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★★ | 6,316.91 | DP | Annual containment low — the level that would end the year-long uptrend story. |
| ◇ | 6,253.74 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 6,316.91; active only on a confirmed break |
🟢bullish | $7,730.99 · swing (days–weeks)
🟥Bear trigger: < 7,581.50 (daily close)
🟩Bull trigger: > 7,816.70 (daily close)
🎯7,850.00 → 7,900.00 → 7,950.00 (upside targets)
🛡️7,816.70 = supply lid
⚖️EQ 7,565.31 = equilibrium pivot
–Swing high 7,816.70 and swing low 7,313.92 are the key liquidity zones — expect stop-runs and sweeps at these extremes before real moves
–Closest resistance above: 7,750.00, 7,800.00, 7,816.70, then 7,850.00, 7,900.00, 7,950.00
–Closest support below: 7,717.25, 7,700.00, 7,689.89, 7,650.00, 7,638.17, 7,600.00
–Strongest nearby cluster: 7,525.94–7,581.50 (4 touches) — the densest support shelf on the board
–Supply imbalance overhead at 7,816.70 — rallies stall and reverse here without a confirmed close through it
–Demand imbalance below at 7,421.82–7,581.50 — dips into this shelf have found a bid all year
–Primary, with the trend: long a breakout-and-hold above 7,816.70 (bull trigger / supply lid), first targets 7,850.00 → 7,900.00 → 7,950.00
–Stop for the breakout long: back below 7,816.70 on a daily close — the level that triggered the trade is the level that invalidates it
–Counter-trend short: fade a rejection at the 7,816.70 supply lid (or the 7,750.00–7,800.00 resistance shelf), confirmed only by a failed daily close above 7,816.70, targets 7,717.25 → 7,700.00 → 7,689.89 → 7,650.00
–Stop for the rejection short: above 7,816.70, clear of the supply zone and swing high
–Watch the 7,816.70 supply lid, extending down through the 7,750.00–7,800.00 resistance shelf on approach
–Confirmation: a bearish engulfing or pin bar on the lower timeframe at the zone, or a failed daily close above 7,816.70
–Profit-taking ladder: 7,717.25 → 7,700.00 → 7,689.89
–Conservative stop: just above 7,816.70, above the supply zone and swing high
–Watch the 7,421.82–7,581.50 demand zone for a pullback, or a sweep of the 7,689.89 prior session low that quickly reclaims
–Confirmation: a bullish pin bar or rejection wick off the zone, or price reclaiming 7,581.50 on the lower timeframe
–Targets from the upside ladder: 7,850.00 → 7,900.00 → 7,950.00
–Stop: just below the demand zone, under 7,421.82, or under the deeper swing low at 7,313.92 for a wider-risk version
If 7,581.50 holds on any pullback, the path stays up toward the 7,816.70 supply lid and then 7,850.00 → 7,900.00 → 7,950.00 — the 1-week engine read backs this, up 1.14% with 65 confidence. A daily close below 7,581.50 flips the bias, opening 7,421.82 and then 7,294.18 as the next demand shelves; the 1-day read is closer to a coin flip at 51 confidence, so treat both scenarios as live until price commits through one trigger or the other.
Not financial advice — analysis only.