| ◇ | 7,894.87 | UP | derived — 1% beyond 7,816.70; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★★ | 7,816.70 | UP | Annual ceiling — a clean close above ignites the next leg higher. |
| → | 7,798.99 | last close (+0.65%) | |
| ★ | 7,763.18 | Yesterday's low — first crack in the floor if sellers show up. | |
| ★ | 7,717.25 | Short-term shelf holding the last few days of chop together. | |
| ★★★★ | 7,577.92 | DP | Bear trigger — lose this on a close and momentum sellers take over. |
| ◇ | 7,502.14 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 7,577.92; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★ | 7,421.82 | DP | Next stop if 7,577.92 gives way — weekly floor beneath the chop. |
| ★★★★ | 7,294.18 | DP | Deeper backstop — a real test of whether the uptrend still holds. |
| ◇ | 7,221.24 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 7,294.18; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★★ | 6,316.91 | DP | The line for the whole year — don't expect a visit soon. |
| ◇ | 6,253.74 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 6,316.91; active only on a confirmed break |
🟢bullish | $7,798.99 · swing (days–weeks)
🟥Bear trigger: < 7,577.92 (daily close)
🟩Bull trigger: > 7,816.70 (daily close)
🎯7,421.82 → 7,294.18 → 6,316.91 (downside) · 7,850.00 → 7,900.00 → 7,950.00 (upside)
🛡️7,793.68–7,816.70 = supply lid
⚖️EQ 7,553.80 = equilibrium pivot
–Swing high 7,793.68 and swing low 7,313.92 are the key liquidity zones — stop-runs and sweeps are most likely to happen there before the next real move
–Closest resistance above: 7,800.00, 7,816.70, 7,850.00, 7,900.00, 7,950.00, 8,000.00
–Closest support below: 7,763.18, 7,750.00, 7,717.25, 7,700.00, 7,650.00, 7,600.00
–Strongest nearby cluster: 7,551.31–7,581.50 (3 touches) — the thickest floor on the board, right where EQ sits
–Supply imbalance overhead at 7,793.68–7,816.70 — where rallies can stall and reverse
–Demand imbalance below at 7,421.82–7,577.92 — where dips can find a bid
–Primary (trend-aligned): long on a daily close above 7,816.70 (bull trigger), riding the breakout toward 7,850.00 → 7,900.00 → 7,950.00
–Stop for the primary long: back below 7,793.68 (the swing high), invalidating the breakout
–Opposite setup: short on rejection from the 7,793.68–7,816.70 supply zone, confirmed only by a daily close back below 7,793.68 — targets 7,577.92 → 7,421.82 → 7,294.18
–Stop for the opposite short: above 7,816.70, since a close through the zone kills the rejection thesis
–Watch the 7,793.68–7,816.70 supply zone — price is testing it right now
–Wait for lower-timeframe confirmation: a bearish engulfing candle or pin bar rejecting the zone, or a 15m/1h breakdown back under 7,793.68
–Entry: on the rejection confirmation, around 7,795–7,805
–Profit-taking ladder: first scale at 7,577.92, second at 7,421.82, final at 7,294.18
–Stop: just above 7,816.70 for the standard version, or above 7,793.68 for a tighter, more conservative stop
–Watch the 7,421.82–7,577.92 demand zone, or a sweep of the 7,313.92 swing low followed by a reclaim
–Wait for bullish confirmation: a pin bar or long lower wick off the demand zone, or a reclaim back above 7,313.92 after the sweep with momentum divergence
–Entry: on the confirmed reclaim/rejection, inside or just above the demand zone
–Profit-taking ladder: first target 7,816.70, then 7,850.00, 7,900.00, and 7,950.00 if the breakout extends
–Stop: just below 7,421.82 for the zone version, or below 7,313.92 for the swing-low-sweep version
The path of least resistance stays up while 7,577.92 holds — the multi-week DP, the EQ at 7,553.80, and the 3-touch cluster at 7,551.31–7,581.50 all stack on top of each other, so a hold there keeps 7,816.70 and then 7,850–7,950 in play. A daily close below 7,577.92 flips the bias and opens 7,421.82, then 7,294.18. The engine itself is split — the 1-day read leans down at 61% confidence, the 1-week read leans up at 64% — both close enough to a coin flip that neither scenario should be discounted until price commits to one side of the supply/demand book.
Not financial advice — analysis only.