| ◇ | 7,922.97 | UP | derived — 1% beyond 7,844.52; active only on a confirmed break |
| ◇ | 7,860.01 | UP | derived — 1% beyond 7,782.19; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★★ | 7,844.52 | UP | Annual ceiling. Acceptance above rewrites the year; rejection keeps the range. |
| ★★★★ | 7,782.19 | UP | Bull trigger. Daily close above flips supply into support. |
| ★ | 7,736.24 | Prior high; first lid overhead, intraday reference only. | |
| → | 7,722.60 | last close (+0.6%) | |
| ★ | 7,677.16 | Prior low, just above EQ; first dip-buy spot. | |
| ★★★★ | 7,612.07 | DP | Bear trigger. Sits atop the six-touch cluster; a close below hurts. |
| ◇ | 7,535.95 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 7,612.07; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★ | 7,507.77 | DP | Weekly floor and swing low; where a breakdown finds buyers. |
| ★★★★★ | 6,316.91 | DP | Annual floor. Far away, but the line for the bigger trend. |
| ◇ | 6,253.74 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 6,316.91; active only on a confirmed break |
🟢bullish | $7,722.60 · swing (days–weeks)
🔥Bear trigger: < 7,612.07 (daily close)
🟩Bull trigger: > 7,782.19 (daily close)
🎯7,800.00, 7,844.52, 7,850.00 up · 7,600.00, 7,550.00 down
SPX closed at 7,722.60 (+0.60%), above EQ at 7,676.15 and well above the demand zone (7,507.77–7,612.07), still inside the range under the 7,782.19–7,844.52 supply zone. The six-touch cluster at 7,581.50–7,638.17 is the floor that keeps the bias constructive.
The 1d engine forecast leans slightly down (-0.21%, confidence 54.7) with a 7,592.37–7,819.80 envelope; the 1w forecast leans up (+0.61%, confidence 50.0). Dealer gamma is positive, so expect dampened moves and pinning.
— Trigger: daily close below 7,612.07.
— Short on a retest of 7,612.07 from below, entry 7,612.07.
— Invalidation: stop at 7,650.00, back above the trigger and the cluster.
— Targets: 7,600.00, 7,550.00, then 7,507.77 (weekly containment). Below that the derived DP at 7,535.95 is only relevant after a confirmed break of 7,612.07.
— Pullback long: entry 7,700.00 (or 7,677.16 on a deeper dip), stop 7,650.00 (below prior low and EQ).
— Targets: 7,782.19 first, then 7,800.00.
— Breakout long: daily close above 7,782.19, entry on the retest, stop 7,736.24.
— Breakout targets: 7,800.00, 7,844.52 (annual containment high). Derived UP at 7,860.01 activates only on a confirmed break of 7,782.19.
A daily close above 7,782.19 shifts the read to a test of the 7,844.52 annual high; a close below 7,612.07 turns it to a test of 7,507.77. Between the two, expect rotation, with moves fading near the pinning strikes.
The weekly forecast's upside lean is not confirmed until the bull trigger is taken. The call wall at 7,950 and the put wall at 6,700 frame the wider option range.