| ◇ | 7,922.97 | UP | derived — 1% beyond 7,844.52; active only on a confirmed break |
| ◇ | 7,860.01 | UP | derived — 1% beyond 7,782.19; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★★ | 7,844.52 | UP | Annual ceiling; a daily close through it rewrites the year. |
| ★★★★ | 7,782.19 | UP | Bull trigger and supply floor; needs a daily close above. |
| ★ | 7,731.26 | Session containment; first lid inside the supply zone. | |
| ★ | 7,702.13 | Prior session high; first stop on a push higher. | |
| → | 7,676.77 | last close (+0.7%) | |
| ★ | 7,639.70 | Prior session low; intraday support, defend it or lean short. | |
| ★★★★ | 7,612.07 | DP | Pivot and bear trigger; daily close below opens 7,507.77. |
| ◇ | 7,535.95 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 7,612.07; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★ | 7,507.77 | DP | Weekly containment; floor of demand and final swing target. |
| ★★★★★ | 6,316.91 | DP | Annual floor; far off, only matters in a regime change. |
| ◇ | 6,253.74 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 6,316.91; active only on a confirmed break |
🟢bullish | $7,676.77 · swing (days–weeks)
🔥Bear trigger: < 7,612.07 (daily close)
🟩Bull trigger: > 7,782.19 (daily close)
🎯7,600.00, 7,550.00, 7,507.77 (down) · 7,800.00 (up)
SPX sits at 7,676.77, a hair above EQ at 7,676.15, inside the 7,507.77–7,844.52 swing range. Price is above the 6-touch cluster (7,581.50–7,638.17) and well short of the supply zone (7,782.19–7,844.52). The 1d engine leans up (+0.04%, confidence 53) and the 1w forecast is +0.96% (51.5), with positive dealer gamma favoring pinning. Trend is range, so edges matter more than the middle.
— Trigger: daily close below 7,612.07.
— Entry: short a failed retest of 7,612.07 from below.
— Invalidation: daily close back above 7,639.70.
— Targets: 7,600.00, 7,550.00, 7,507.77. The derived DP at 7,535.95 (1% beyond 7,612.07) activates on the confirmed break.
— Entry: long 7,639.70 while 7,612.07 holds.
— Invalidation: stop 7,590.24, below the pivot.
— Targets: 7,702.13, then 7,782.19.
— Breakout add: only on a daily close above 7,782.19; stop 7,731.26, target 7,800.00, then derived UP 7,860.01 if the break confirms.
The 7,612.07 pivot and 7,782.19 trigger frame the week; a daily close beyond either changes the read. A close above 7,782.19 puts the 7,844.52 annual ceiling in play. A close below 7,612.07 flips the lean to the 7,507.77 demand floor. Inside the range, expect rotation sized to the 72.76 ATR.