| ◇ | 7,894.87 | UP | derived — 1% beyond 7,816.70; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★★ | 7,816.70 | UP | Annual high containment; a decisive close above opens real trend acceleration. |
| ★★★ | 7,771.48 | UP | Supply zone ceiling; reclaiming it confirms the bull trigger and upside follow-through. |
| ★ | 7,677.02 | Prior session high; first speed bump for any rally attempt today. | |
| → | 7,656.98 | last close (+0.86%) | |
| ★★★ | 7,638.17 | DP | Bear trigger; lose this on a close and downside momentum takes over. |
| ★★★ | 7,611.20 | DP | Demand zone floor; holding here keeps the bullish structure intact. |
| ★★★★ | 7,581.50 | DP | Multi-week floor near EQ; a clean break turns sellers aggressive. |
| ◇ | 7,505.68 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 7,581.50; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★ | 7,294.18 | DP | Multi-week floor; a break here marks real trend damage. |
| ◇ | 7,221.24 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 7,294.18; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★★ | 6,316.91 | DP | Annual containment low; the line in the sand for the bull case. |
| ◇ | 6,253.74 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 6,316.91; active only on a confirmed break |
🟢bullish | $7,656.98 · swing (days–weeks)
🟥Bear trigger: < 7,638.17 (daily close)
🟩Bull trigger: > 7,771.48 (daily close)
🎯7,611.20 → 7,600.00 → 7,581.50 (downside) · 7,800.00 → 7,816.70 (upside)
🛡️7,771.48–7,816.70 = supply lid
⚖️EQ 7,565.31 = equilibrium pivot
–Swing high 7,816.70 and swing low 7,313.92 are the key liquidity zones — expect sweeps and stop-runs at either extreme before real reversals
–Closest resistance above: 7,677.02, 7,700.00, 7,750.00, 7,771.48, 7,800.00, 7,816.70
–Closest support below: 7,650.00, 7,638.17, 7,611.20, 7,600.00, 7,581.50, 7,550.00
–Strongest nearby cluster: 7,525.94–7,581.50 (4 touches) — the highest-conviction floor below current price
–Supply imbalance overhead 7,771.48–7,816.70 — where rallies can stall and reverse
–Demand imbalance below 7,611.20–7,638.17 — where dips can find a bid
–Primary (long): buy a confirmed hold of the demand zone 7,611.20–7,638.17, working with the prevailing uptrend and the engine's up-leaning read on both the 1-day and 1-week horizons; first targets 7,800.00 → 7,816.70, trimming into each print
–Opposite (short): only on a daily close below the bear trigger 7,638.17 — that turns the pivot into overhead resistance; targets 7,611.20 → 7,600.00 → 7,581.50
–Stop for the long: below 7,600.00, a clean invalidation under the demand zone and the round-number support
–Stop for the short: back above 7,650.00, which would mean price reclaimed the range before reaching the first target
–Zone to watch: the supply zone 7,771.48–7,816.70, where the current leg up has been capped
–Confirmation: a bearish engulfing candle or a long upper-wick pin bar into the zone, or a lower-timeframe (15m/1h) breakdown back under 7,750.00
–Profit-taking ladder: first scale at 7,611.20, second scale at 7,600.00, final target 7,581.50
–Conservative stop: above the swing high at 7,816.70, which fully invalidates the rejection thesis
–Zone to watch: the demand zone 7,611.20–7,638.17, or a deeper liquidity sweep of the swing low at 7,313.92 followed by a fast reclaim
–Confirmation: a bullish pin bar or rejection wick off the zone, or a momentum divergence on the lower timeframe as price reclaims the level
–Targets: 7,800.00 → 7,816.70, following the upside ladder
–Stop: just below 7,600.00 for the demand-zone version, or below 7,294.18 (the next multi-week floor) for the sweep-of-swing-low version
Base case stays constructive: if 7,638.17 holds on daily closes, look for a grind back into the supply zone at 7,771.48–7,816.70, with 7,800.00 and 7,816.70 as the swing targets. A daily close below 7,638.17 flips the script and opens 7,611.20 then 7,581.50, with the multi-week floor at 7,294.18 the next real test if selling accelerates. The engine's directional confidence is middling — 53 on the 1-day read, 57 on the 1-week — and dealer gamma is positive, which tends to dampen and pin moves, so treat both paths as live until one trigger actually closes on the wrong side.
Not financial advice — analysis only.