| ◇ | 7,871.62 | UP | derived — 1% beyond 7,793.68; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★★ | 7,793.68 | UP | The line that defines the year — clear it and momentum buyers show up. |
| ★ | 7,763.08 | Yesterday's high, first speed bump on any push toward the highs. | |
| → | 7,757.64 | last close (+0.62%) | |
| ★ | 7,719.19 | Yesterday's low — a quick reclaim keeps the uptrend intact. | |
| ★★★ | 7,620.90 | DP | Weekly pivot — hold it and dips stay dips, lose it and sellers show teeth. |
| ★★★★ | 7,577.92 | DP | Multi-week floor and demand-zone edge — the last line before real damage. |
| ◇ | 7,502.14 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 7,577.92; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★ | 7,480.57 | Minor session shelf inside the range, not a level worth fighting over. | |
| ★★★ | 7,421.82 | DP | Weekly containment near the EQ — loses teeth fast if price holds above. |
| ★ | 7,376.00 | Small session marker, only matters once the bigger floors already gave way. | |
| ★★★★ | 7,294.18 | DP | Multi-week floor — a close below here starts to threaten the trend. |
| ◇ | 7,221.24 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 7,294.18; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★★ | 6,316.91 | DP | The whole year's floor — nothing changes above it, everything changes below it. |
| ◇ | 6,253.74 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 6,316.91; active only on a confirmed break |
🟢bullish | $7,757.64 · swing (days–weeks)
🟥Bear trigger: < 7,620.90 (daily close)
🟩Bull trigger: > 7,793.68 (daily close)
🎯7,600.00 (downside) · 7,800.00 → 7,850.00 → 7,900.00 (upside)
🛡️7,581.50–7,793.68 = supply lid
⚖️EQ 7,447.71 = equilibrium pivot
–Swing high 7,581.50 and swing low 7,313.92 are the key liquidity zones for this leg — expect sweeps and stop-runs through both before real trend moves.
–Closest resistance above: 7,763.08 → 7,793.68 → 7,800.00 → 7,850.00 → 7,900.00 → 7,950.00.
–Closest support below: 7,750.00 → 7,719.19 → 7,700.00 → 7,650.00 → 7,620.90 → 7,600.00.
–Strongest nearby cluster: 7,525.94–7,581.50 (4 touches) — the most contested shelf in range.
–Supply imbalance overhead at 7,581.50–7,793.68 — where rallies can stall and reverse.
–Demand imbalance below at 7,577.92–7,620.90 — where dips can find a bid.
–Primary (trend-aligned): long on a daily close above 7,793.68 (bull trigger) — annual containment breaking opens 7,800.00, then 7,850.00, then 7,900.00.
–Also-primary: long on a hold of the 7,577.92–7,620.90 demand zone on a pullback, targeting a retest of 7,793.68 and the 7,800.00 zone.
–Opposite (needs confirmation): short only on a confirmed daily close below 7,620.90 (bear trigger) — a breakdown, not a sweep. Targets 7,600.00, then 7,577.92 if that multi-week floor gives way.
–Stops: breakout longs — below 7,719.19 (prior session low). Demand-zone longs — below 7,577.92. Breakdown shorts — back above 7,650.00, inside the demand zone.
–Watch the 7,763.08–7,793.68 supply shelf for a rejection print — this is where rallies have stalled before.
–Confirmation: a bearish engulfing candle or pin bar at the shelf, or a lower-timeframe breakdown through 7,750.00.
–Profit-taking ladder: trim at 7,700.00, trim more at 7,650.00, final target 7,600.00.
–Stop: just above the supply zone, above 7,793.68 — the conservative placement that survives a wick into the highs.
–Aggressive entry: buy a reclaim of the 7,577.92–7,620.90 demand zone on a bullish pin bar or rejection wick.
–Deeper, higher-conviction entry: wait for a sweep of swing low 7,313.92 — a stop-run below it followed by a reclaim back above — before buying.
–Targets: 7,620.90 first (zone reclaim), then 7,793.68 → 7,800.00 → 7,850.00 → 7,900.00.
–Stop: below 7,577.92 for the zone entry; below 7,313.92 for the sweep entry — size down given the wider risk.
If SPX holds above 7,620.90 this week, look for a grind through the 7,763.08–7,793.68 supply shelf into 7,800.00, with 7,850.00 and 7,900.00 in play if the annual containment gives way on a closing basis. A confirmed daily close below 7,620.90 flips the bias, opening 7,600.00 and then a test of the 7,577.92 multi-week floor. Engine confidence sits in the mid-50s to 60 — a mixed signal, not a strong one — so both scenarios stay live until one of the two triggers actually prints; positive dealer gamma (call wall 7,800, put wall 6,600) argues for pinned, grind-y price action over a fast break either way.
Not financial advice — analysis only.