| ◇ | 7,697.11 | UP | derived — 1% beyond 7,620.90; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★★ | 7,620.90 | UP | Year's ceiling — a confirmed close above unlocks trend-follow buying toward new highs. |
| ★★★★ | 7,577.92 | UP | Top of the supply shelf; rejections here have capped every recent rally attempt. |
| ★★★ | 7,517.12 | UP | Bull trigger — reclaim and hold flips control back to buyers near-term. |
| → | 7,457.69 | last close (-1.01%) | |
| ★★★ | 7,421.82 | DP | Bear trigger and EQ's neighbor — lose it and sellers take the wheel. |
| ★★★★ | 7,294.18 | DP | Demand shelf floor; dip buyers have defended this zone on every prior test. |
| ★★★★ | 7,237.85 | DP | Swing low anchor — a confirmed breakdown here opens real downside acceleration. |
| ◇ | 7,165.47 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 7,237.85; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★★ | 6,212.69 | DP | The floor for the whole year; nothing changes until this line breaks. |
🟢bullish | $7,457.69 · swing (days–weeks)
🟥Bear trigger: < 7,421.82 (daily close)
🟩Bull trigger: > 7,517.12 (daily close)
🎯7,400 → 7,350 → 7,300 (downside) · 7,550 → 7,577.92 → 7,600 (upside)
🛡️7,517.12–7,577.92 = supply lid
⚖️EQ 7,429.38 = equilibrium pivot
–Swing high 7,620.90 and swing low 7,237.85 bookend the range — both are prime liquidity pools where stop-runs and sweeps are likely before any real reversal.
–Resistance overhead: 7,500 → 7,517.12 → 7,550 → 7,577.92 → 7,600 → 7,620.90.
–Support below: 7,450 → 7,421.82 → 7,400 → 7,350 → 7,300 → 7,294.18.
–Strongest nearby cluster sits at 7,551.31–7,577.92 (2 touches) — the tightest knot of resistance in the ladder.
–Supply imbalance overhead at 7,517.12–7,577.92 — rallies have stalled and reversed from this shelf.
–Demand imbalance below at 7,294.18–7,421.82 — dips into this zone have found buyers on prior tests.
–Primary (long, trend-aligned): buy a hold of the demand zone 7,294.18–7,421.82 on a dip, or a reclaim-and-hold above the bull trigger 7,517.12. First targets 7,550 → 7,577.92 → 7,600; a clean break of the swing high 7,620.90 opens the derived level at 7,697.11.
–Stop for the long: below 7,294.18 (zone floor) on the dip-buy version, or below 7,421.82 (bear trigger) on the reclaim version.
–Opposite (short, countertrend): fade a rejection from the supply zone 7,517.12–7,577.92, confirmed by a failed break of the bull trigger. Targets 7,400 → 7,350 → 7,300.
–Stop for the short: above 7,577.92 (zone top), or above the swing high 7,620.90 for the conservative version.
–Watch zone: a sweep of the swing high 7,620.90, or a rejection inside the supply zone 7,517.12–7,577.92.
–Confirmation: bearish engulfing candle or pin bar at the zone, or a lower-timeframe (1h) breakdown below the zone's low.
–Profit ladder: 7,400 → 7,350 → 7,300, trailing the runner toward the demand zone.
–Stop: just above the supply zone top (~7,585) for the zone-rejection version, or above the swing high (~7,630) for the sweep version.
–Watch zone: a sweep of the swing low 7,237.85 with a fast reclaim, or a hold inside the demand zone 7,294.18–7,421.82.
–Confirmation: bullish pin bar or rejection wick off the zone, or positive RSI divergence on the reclaim.
–Profit ladder: 7,550 → 7,577.92 → 7,600, trailing toward the supply zone.
–Stop: just below the demand zone floor (~7,285) for the zone-hold version, or below the swing low (~7,225) for the sweep version.
If sellers push through the bear trigger at 7,421.82 on a daily close, expect a slide into the demand zone and the multi-week floor at 7,294.18, with 7,237.85 in play on continued weakness. If buyers instead reclaim and hold the bull trigger at 7,517.12, the path opens toward 7,577.92 and the annual ceiling at 7,620.90. The engine's 1-day read is close to a coin flip (52/100 confidence) but the 1-week outlook leans more constructively up (64/100) with a positive dealer-gamma regime — read that as both scenarios staying live near-term, with a modest structural edge to the bulls over the coming week.
Not financial advice — analysis only.