| ◇ | 7,871.62 | UP | derived — 1% beyond 7,793.68; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★★ | 7,793.68 | UP | The line for the year — clear it and the uptrend gets real room to run. |
| → | 7,723.55 | last close (-0.17%) | |
| ★ | 7,720.17 | Prior session low, immediate footing — lose it and dip risk opens fast. | |
| ★★★ | 7,620.90 | DP | The swing pivot — hold it and bulls stay in control, close below flips momentum. |
| ★★★★ | 7,577.92 | DP | Multi-week floor and the first real downside magnet if the pivot cracks. |
| ★ | 7,525.94 | Session footing inside the cluster zone — minor bounce spot, nothing more. | |
| ◇ | 7,502.14 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 7,577.92; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★ | 7,480.57 | Secondary session shelf, thin support if the selling picks up steam. | |
| ★★★ | 7,421.82 | DP | Weekly floor just under EQ — a close below turns the tape defensive. |
| ★ | 7,376.00 | Minor session shelf, a waypoint on the road to the multi-week floor. | |
| ★★★★ | 7,294.18 | DP | Deeper multi-week support — a real test of the uptrend's health if tagged. |
| ◇ | 7,221.24 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 7,294.18; active only on a confirmed break |
| ★★★★★ | 6,316.91 | DP | The floor for the year — distant, but the line that breaks everything. |
| ◇ | 6,253.74 | DP | derived — 1% beyond 6,316.91; active only on a confirmed break |
🟢bullish | $7,723.55 · swing (days–weeks)
🟥Bear trigger: < 7,620.90 (daily close)
🟩Bull trigger: > 7,793.68 (daily close)
🎯7,600.00 → 7,577.92 (downside) · 7,800.00 → 7,850.00 → 7,900.00 (upside)
🛡️7,581.50–7,793.68 = supply lid
⚖️EQ 7,447.71 = equilibrium pivot
–Swing high 7,581.50 and swing low 7,313.92 mark the last major liquidity pool — sweeps/stop-runs through either are likely before a clean trend move.
–Closest resistance overhead: 7,750.00, then 7,793.68 (annual high / bull trigger), 7,800.00, 7,850.00, 7,900.00, 7,950.00.
–Closest support below: 7,720.17, 7,700.00, 7,650.00, 7,620.90 (bear trigger), 7,600.00, 7,577.92.
–Strongest nearby cluster: 7,525.94–7,581.50, 4 touches — the densest footing on the board.
–Supply imbalance overhead at 7,581.50–7,793.68 — where rallies are most likely to stall and reverse.
–Demand imbalance below at 7,577.92–7,620.90 — where dips are most likely to find a bid.
–Primary — fade the supply zone: short a rejection between 7,750.00 and 7,793.68 (annual high / bull trigger) if the rally stalls; targets 7,600.00 then 7,577.92.
–Stop on the fade: above 7,793.68 — a confirmed close through it kills the short thesis outright.
–Opposite — long the breakout: a daily close above 7,793.68 opens 7,800.00 → 7,850.00 → 7,900.00, valid once the bull trigger holds as support on the retest.
–Stop on the breakout long: below 7,720.17 for the tactical version; below the 7,577.92–7,620.90 demand zone for the swing version, with 7,313.92 (swing low) as the level that breaks the uptrend's structure.
–Zone to watch: 7,750.00–7,793.68, the supply lid and annual containment high.
–Confirmation: a bearish engulfing bar or pin bar rejecting the zone, or a lower-timeframe (15m–1h) breakdown back below 7,720.17.
–Profit-taking ladder: trim at 7,700.00 and 7,650.00, first target 7,600.00, extended target 7,577.92 (multi-week containment).
–Stop: just above 7,793.68 — the top of the supply zone; the older swing high (7,581.50) already sits below current price so it's not usable here.
–Zone to watch: a hold of the 7,577.92–7,620.90 demand zone, or a sweep of the 7,313.92 swing low followed by a reclaim back above it.
–Confirmation: a bullish pin bar or long lower wick off the zone, or a lower-timeframe higher low with a break back above short-term structure.
–Profit-taking ladder: 7,620.90 reclaim first, then 7,793.68 (bull trigger), extending to 7,800.00 → 7,850.00 → 7,900.00 on continuation.
–Stop: below 7,577.92 for the zone-hold version; below 7,313.92 (swing low) for the sweep version.
If SPX fails to clear 7,793.68 and closes back below 7,620.90, look for a slide to 7,600.00 and then 7,577.92, with the multi-week floor at 7,294.18 the next real test if selling accelerates. A daily close above 7,793.68 flips the bias cleanly bullish and opens 7,800.00 → 7,850.00 → 7,900.00. The engine itself is split — the 1-day model leans down (-0.5%, 54/100 confidence) while the 1-week model leans up (+0.46%, 59/100 confidence) — both close to a coin flip, so treat 7,620.90–7,793.68 as the real battleground until one side breaks.
Not financial advice — analysis only.